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Yen, Euros and dollar currency bills and notes

Japanese Yen Technical Analysis: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY

Yen weakness has continued to show, and USD/JPY has jumped up to a key Fibonacci level on the way to fresh three-week highs.

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USD/JPY Fresh Four-Month Lows on USD Weakness

USD/JPY has just tested the 23.6% retracement of the long-term trend driven by the carry trade, but bears are again showing caution while at fresh lows.

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March 6, 2025 02:30 PM
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Japanese Yen Technical Analysis: USD/JPY Cracks 150.00, What's Next?

USD/JPY traded below the 150.00 level for the first time in more than two months. If the trend continues there could be repercussions in several markets.

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February 20, 2025 02:35 PM

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Research

USD/JPY bears eye break of 151 as GDP bolsters hawkish-BOJ bets

Japan's Q4 GDP is the latest to data to outperform estimates and, through the lens of CESI (Cit Economic Surprise Index), Japan's data is also outperforming its peers. While USD/JPY is considering a break of 151, I'm on guard for a false break before the real move to 150 materialises.

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Japanese Yen Technical Analysis: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY

USD/JPY has shown a higher-low on the daily chart and at this point it seems to have evaded much of the tariff drama that’s engulfed other USD-pairs.

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Japanese Yen Technical Analysis: USD/JPY Bulls Drive to 5-Month Highs

USD/JPY had a bullish response to the December FOMC rate decision and the pair is fast approaching a big spot of longer-term resistance at the 160.00 handle.

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Japanese Yen Outlook: USD/JPY Holding Critical Support for Now

USD/JPY set a lower-high last week even as DXY spiked up to a fresh two-year-high. And there’s now a short-term descending triangle formation setting up in the pair.

Forex trading

USD/JPY Tests 150 Break, 200-DMA, 151.95 Overhead

The 150 level had held as resistance in USD/JPY until this week’s US open, at which point another DXY-fueled breakout appeared. The next major level up is the same that held multi-year highs in the pair in Q4 of each of the past two years.

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USD, USD/JPY Spike to Start Q4: DXY Already Overbought on H4

It’s been a fast start to Q4 for the US Dollar. The turn in EUR/USD was a big driver yesterday and today, USD/JPY has taken over with buyers continuing a strong bounce from the Monday low.

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USD/JPY analysis: Open interest on yen futures plunged at record pace

Earlier this month I had warned that the fall on USD/JPY from the July high might already be a crowded trade. A plunge in open interest and an engulfing week on yen futures suggests I was right to be suspicious.

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September 24, 2024 11:42 PM
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FOMC, BOE and BOJ meetings in focus: The Week Ahead

Next week brings three major central bank meetings, none of which seem to be on the same page policy wise. The Fed are expected to cut by 25bp and potentially set the record straight on another ‘50bp’ cut November, whereas there’s also an outside chance the BOJ may surprise with an interest rate hike given their renewed hawkish narrative. And while the Bank of England are expected to hold rates, a soft set of inflation figures could bring forward bets of a November cut.

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September 12, 2024 11:29 PM
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USDJPY Outlook: Bearish Pressures Amplified

USDJPY Outlook: As monetary policy cycles operate with a lag, the impact of US interest rates is increasingly evident in the weakening US labor market, pushing the USDJPY closer to its 2024 lows ahead of the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) employment reports.

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September 5, 2024 04:35 AM
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The Nikkei 225 has been added to my watch (out below) list

The Nikkei has been grinding higher in recent weeks, but with momentum turning lower at resistance and asset managers are increasing longs, perhaps it's ready for a leg or two lower.

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May 29, 2024 02:30 AM
Research

USD/JPY closes above 153 for the first time since 1990: Asian Open

Another day, another milestone for USD/JPY which closed above 152 for the first time in nearly 34 years on Thursday.

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April 11, 2024 07:15 PM
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USD/JPY, AUD/JPY forecast: The yen strengthens on slightly hot CPI data

Japan's core CPI didn't fall below the BOJ's 2% target, although it did match it. Which has seen AUD/JPY and USD/JPY retrace further from their highs in light of yen strength.

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February 26, 2024 07:54 PM
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If USD/CNH is the canary in the coalmine, USD/JPY might be in trouble

A bearish reversal pattern has formed on USD/CNH which implies a move down to 7.10. And if the yuan continues to strengthen, it could see the yen follow and scupper USD/JPY attempt at breaking 152.

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February 21, 2024 01:12 AM
Yen, Euros and dollar currency bills and notes

Japanese Yen Technical Forecast: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY

Yen weakness has come rushing back in early-2024 trade, but U.S. and U.K. CPI could provide a jolt to FX trends in USD and GBP, which could produce some change in both USD/JPY and GBP/JPY.

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USD/JPY: Offshore drivers remain in control unless the BOJ can normalise policy

USD/JPY traders barely acknowledged the release of Japan’s October inflation report, reinforcing the view the only thing that matters for the pair right now is developments in the US economy, unless the Bank of Japan (BOJ) signals or starts to normalise monetary policy.

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November 23, 2023 07:27 PM
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AirTrunk IPO: Everything you need to know about AirTrunk

AirTrunk is one of the largest hyperscale data centre developers in Asia-Pacific. Based in Australia, the company is exploring a listing on the ASX that could value them at AU$10 billion.

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October 9, 2023 02:08 PM
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USD/JPY: economic divergence to drive renewed downside?

As activity in other advanced economies starts to splutter, Japan is firing up.

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August 23, 2023 08:14 PM
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USD/JPY: BOJ FX intervention may be ineffectual

Another way to support the Japanese yen may be for the BOJ to stop intervening in markets.

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August 16, 2023 08:56 PM
Research

USD/JPY breaks higher. Nikkei 225 next?

USD/JPY is breaking higher, adding to upside risks for Japanese exporter earnings.

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August 14, 2023 09:23 PM
Research

USD/JPY: 145 breached yet BOJ intervention seems unlikely

USD/JPY is back to levels where the BOJ intervened last year but that doesn't mean it will do so again

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August 13, 2023 10:45 PM