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AUD/USD: RBA Holds as Inflation Risks Keep Rate Cuts in Check

With inflation risks lingering, the RBA stays cautious. Could the next inflation report trigger a rate cut?

AUD/USD, USD/CAD Price Action Clues Could Bode Well for AUD/CAD Bears

The Australian and Canadian dollar came under further pressure on the eve of Trump's liberation day, seeing AUD/USD fall as much as -1.3% and USD/CAD rise 0.7%. And the relative underperformance of the two could bode well for AUD/CAD bears, which is displaying several clues on the higher timeframes that it could be headed lower.

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Forex Seasonality – April 2025: Will the GBP/USD Strength Continue?

April has historically been the strongest month for GBP/USD, with the pair seeing an average gain of +0.66% since 1971. See the forex market's other seasonal tendencies!

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AUD/USD weekly outlook: RBA, ISMs and NFP in Focus

AUD/USD is on track for a bullish month for March, even if it handed back over half of its early-month gains. Attention now shifts to tomorrow's RBA meeting for AUD/USD traders, alongside ISM and NFP reports from the US.

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Australian Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Coils Ahead of RBA Rate Decision

AUD/USD seems to be tracking the flattening slope in the 50-Day SMA (0.6297) as it still trades within the February range.

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By : David Song
March 28, 2025 12:30 PM
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Australian Dollar (AUD/USD) Techs: Aussie Bulls Tempt a Larger Turn

The past two monthly bars in AUD/USD have been indecisive but more recently, as USD-strength has come back to life, the Aussie has held its own quite well.

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March 26, 2025 02:55 PM
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AUD/USD forecast: GBP/AUD Eyes 2020 High, Inflation Reports on Tap

AUD/USD has made a mild attempt to move higher this week, yet higher timeframes continue to suggest a move towards 62c. And that could see GBP/AUD have a crack at the 2020 highs over the near term, though I'm also keeping an eye out for a cycle top and pullback.

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AUD/USD Halts Four-Day Selloff Ahead of Australia CPI

AUD/USD may consolidate over the remainder of the month as it halts a four-day selloff.

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By : David Song
March 24, 2025 03:20 PM
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AUD/USD Weekly Outlook: AU inflation, US Core PCE on Tap

Whether the RBA cut in Q2 or Q3 could come down to the quarterly inflation figures released on the 30th April. But AUD/USD traders will of course keep a close eye on the AU monthly inflation report and US core PCE figures released this week.

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Australian Dollar Forecast: Tight Jobs Market Means AUD/USD Weakness May Not Last

A sharp drop in employment grabbed headlines, but the real story is the resilience of Australia’s labour market. With unemployment steady and underutilisation falling, the RBA has little reason to entertain an April rate cut. Will the data be enough to keep the Aussie supported?

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March 19, 2025 09:26 PM
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AUD/USD mulls 64c breakout, US yields hint at swing high post Fed

With US yields lower and hinting at a swing high, the relationship between AUD/USD and the AU-US 2-year spread appear to be back on talking terms. And that could bode well for AUD/USD bulls if US yields continue to fall in line with my bias.

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AUD/USD Fails to Test February High Ahead of Fed Rate Decision

AUD/USD may consolidate ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate decision as it fails to test the February high (0.6409).

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AUD/USD, NZD/USD Track Wall Street, Yields Higher Amid Risk-Off Fatigue

Like clockwork, Wall Street indices extended their bounce for a second day after the S&P 500 reached the 10% ‘technical correction’ level on Thursday, with AUD/USD and NZD/USD also getting a tailwind from positive China data and comments from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.

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EUR/USD Flips to Net-Long, Yen Hints at Sentiment Extreme: COT Report

Large speculators flipped to net-long exposure EUR/USD futures for the first week in 21, and while they extended their bullish exposure to Japanese yen futures, it could be nearing a sentiment extreme. So USD/JPY bears may want to tread with caution.

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AUD/USD Forecast: FOMC, AU Jobs to Wake the Aussie Up From Its Lull?

AUD/USD lacked direction during its least volatile week in 10, while futures traders also failed to commit to a direction by trimming longs and shorts. Perhaps This week's FOMC meeting which includes economic forecasts and get things moving. For now, range-trading strategies are preferred.

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AUD/USD, AUD/JPY Forecast: Traders Weigh Risk Weakness vs. USD Softness

With little on the domestic calendar, offshore risk events will dictate the Aussie’s fate. The Fed, BOJ, and Chinese data loom large, while bearish signals suggest downside risks are building.

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March 13, 2025 06:26 PM
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USD/JPY, AUD/USD, Nasdaq 100: Volatility Surges as Traders Weigh Trump’s ‘Transition’ Economy

Markets shudder as Trump’s recession comments fuel risk aversion, but the warning signs were already flashing well before his remarks.

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Australian Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Pulls Back Ahead of February High

AUD/USD pulls back ahead of the February high (0.6409) to carve a series of lower highs and lows.

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By : David Song
March 10, 2025 03:20 PM
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AUD/USD weekly outlook: 10 March 2025

With nothing significant domestically lined up, February’s inflation figures for the US is the main calendar event for AUD/USD traders this week. And as always, any update from Trump and his policies will warrant attention.

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USD/JPY, AUD/USD forecast: The dollar’s demise slows its pace

The US dollar fell for a fourth day, but formed a near-term reversal signal near support. A slightly favourable NFP report today could help the USD recover some of this week's losses, prompting a bounce on USD/JPY and minor pullback on AUD/USD. Beyond that, further losses for the dollar appear to be more likely.

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AUD/USD, GBP/USD: Riding Fiscal Tailwinds as Risk Appetite Roars

Risk-on sentiment is lifting AUD/USD and GBP/USD as fiscal stimulus from Germany and China fuels a rally in cyclical assets. With the ECB decision and US payrolls on deck, can the rally extend, or will event risk spoil the party?

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Australia Dollar Outlook: AUD/USD Stuck in the Headlines as China Trade War Escalates

AUD/USD is struggling as China trade tensions escalate, with price action closely tied to moves in USD/CNH. While Beijing is ramping up fiscal support to boost consumer spending, details remain thin, leaving the Aussie stuck in a headline-driven market. Can .6200 hold as support?

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AUD/USD Rebounds Even as Trump Tariffs Go into Effect for China

AUD/USD attempts to extend the advance from the start of the week even as President Donald Trump imposes tariffs on China.

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By : David Song
March 4, 2025 03:15 PM