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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ falls as trade tariff & recession fears mount

US stocks are poised for a weaker open, with the Nasdaq 100 dropping to its lowest level since September amid concerns that President Trump's trade tariffs will negatively impact the US economy. Goldman Sachs raised its recession risk to 35% from 20%. Gold rises to a record high.

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Yesterday 09:37 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA extends losses after hotter core PCE inflation

US stocks have opened lower on Friday, following key inflation data and amid a fragile market mood ahead of next week's trade tariff announcements. The US core PCE, the Fed's preferred gauge for inflation, rose in February, and household demand was weaker than expected amid growing concerns about household finances

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March 28, 2025 09:23 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA extends losses as the trade war deepens

US stocks have opened lower, extending losses from yesterday, as investors continue to assess President Trump's latest tariff announcements.

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March 27, 2025 11:16 AM

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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX holds steady with tariffs in focus

US stocks have opened quietly amid a cautious market mood as investors await key economic data later this week and more clarity on Trump's trade tariffs, which are expected to take effect next week. The recent relief rally has paused as investors await more details over tariffs, which will be applied from April 2. US core PCE inflation data is due on Friday.

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March 26, 2025 10:04 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA rises after the Fed meeting, trade war worries linger

US stocks have opened higher as the market continues to digest the Federal Reserve interest rate decision, trade war worries, and a solid housing report. The Fed left rates unchanged as expected but also highlighted rising uncertainties amid rump's trade wars.

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March 20, 2025 10:46 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises ahead of the FOMC rate decision

US stocks are opening higher ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision later today. The central bank is widely expected to leave rates unchanged at 4.25% to 4.5%. Powell's comments, economic projections, and the dot plot will provide clues about how the Fed sees Trump's policies impacting the economy.

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March 19, 2025 09:56 AM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX slips with the Fed meeting in focus

US stocks are opening lower after modest gains yesterday, as the mood remains cautious at the start of the Federal Reserve two-day meeting and ahead of Nvidia CEO Huang’s speech later today. The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged, but updated economic projections should provide some clues about how policymakers see Trump's tariffs impacting the economy.

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March 18, 2025 09:37 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA struggles after weak retail sales add to slowdown worries

US stocks are struggling at the start of the week, extending losses from the previous week. Concerns over the impact of Trump's trade tariffs on the economy still weigh heavily, and US retail sales com in below expectations. US retail sales rose 0.2% MoM, well below the 0.7% forecast.

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March 17, 2025 09:39 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises but could struggle to hold gains

US stocks are rising on Friday, bouncing at the end of the week after the S&P 500 slipped into correction territory, joining the Nasdaq amid concerns over the ramping up of Trump's trade war and a potential economic slowdown. Trump or the Fed will need to pivot for a more sustained improvement in sentiment and stock recovery.

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March 14, 2025 10:59 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rebounds after CPI cooled by more than forecast

US stocks are soaring ahead of the open after cooler-than-expected US inflation data keeps Fed rate cut hopes alive, even as trade tensions escalate and recession fears loom. US CPI eased to 2.8% YoY from 3%, and underlying CPI eased to 3.1% from 3.2%. The data comes as trade tension ramps up and the EU, Canada, and China apply retaliatory tariffs.

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March 12, 2025 09:30 AM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX extends losses as recession fears linger

US stocks are set to open modestly lower, extending yesterday’s sharp sell-off amid lingering US slowdown fears. Yesterday, U.S. stocks dropped sharply, with the NASDAQ falling 4% in its worst daily performance in 2 1/2 years. The S&P 500 closed 2.8% lower, and the Dow Jones was down 2.3%. JOLTs job openings rose to 7.75 million, up from 7.5 million.

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March 11, 2025 10:36 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ falls as trade uncertainty fuels downturn worries

US stocks are set to open lower on Monday as President Trump’s comments over the weekend fueled concerns that the trade war could trigger an economic downturn. Trump refused to rule out an economic downturn due to fluctuating trade policies. This week, US CPI data will be a key release.

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March 10, 2025 10:22 AM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX falls after NFP misses & on trade tariff uncertainty

US stocks point to a weaker opening after the latest US non-farm payroll came in weaker than expected amid ongoing US trade policy uncertainty. 151K jobs were added in February, up from 125 K in January but below forecasts of 160 K. Inemployment rose to 4.1%, The data missed forecasts but wasn't as bad as some feared. On going trade tariff uncertainty is also dragging on sentiment.

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March 7, 2025 10:06 AM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX falls on trade tariff uncertainty & jobs data

US stocks point to a weaker open as investors weigh up the latest trade tariff developments and mixed jobs data. Trump announced a one-month exemption from the newly imposed 25% tariffs on auto imports from Mexico and Canada. However, the ongoing uncertainty makes it hard for companies to plan. Challenger job cuts jump 245%.

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March 6, 2025 09:15 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ muted on tariff relief optimism & weak data

US stocks are set to open mixed amid hopes for tariff negotiations and as investors look ahead to the ISM services PMI data. ADP payrolls were weaker than expected. Concerns over the outlook for the US economy are rising. Comments from US Commerce Secretary raised hopes that the trade tariffs could still be walked back and used as a negotiating tool by Trump.

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March 5, 2025 09:35 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ falls further as the US applies trade tariffs

US stocks are set to open lower as investors avoid riskier assets after President Trump presses ahead with trade tariffs on its neighbours and China, raising concerns over the economic outlook. The US imposed 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada and doubled levies on Chinese goods to 20%. Meanwhile, China retaliated with additional tariffs on its US imports.

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March 4, 2025 09:28 AM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rises after core PCE cools

US stocks are heading modestly higher, stabilizing from yesterday’s sell-off as investors weigh up core PCE data and lingering trade tariff worries. Core PCE eased to 2.6% YoY, from 2.9% in December. The mood could remain cautious ahead of Trump's trade tariffs on Mexican, Canadian, and Chinese imports starting Monday.

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February 28, 2025 09:36 AM

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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises ahead of Nvidia's earnings

US stocks point to a higher open as investors await quarterly earnings from AI darling Nvidia. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq closed lower in the previous session, while the Dow Jones gained 0.4%. Traders remain jittery after U.S. consumer confidence data showed a deterioration in sentiment. Nvidia is expected to post 72% revenue growth and 63% earnings growth, a deceleration from previous quarters.

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February 26, 2025 08:30 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA muted after Trump trade threats

US stocks are muted amid a cautious mood after President Trump reaffirmed the possibility of tariffs on Mexico and Canada and ahead of consumer confidence data. Trump reiterated that tariffs on Mexico and Canada were still likely from Monday. Chip stocks are also under pressure on reports of more export restrictions to China.

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February 25, 2025 09:38 AM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rebounds after last week's losses

US stocks are heading for a stronger start, rebounding from last week's losses as investors look ahead to Trump's speech later today and Nvidia's earnings later in the week. Soft data last week sent all three indices sharply lower amid signs that businesses and consumers were losing confidence owing to the Trump administration's policies.

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February 24, 2025 08:30 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ muted after retail sales drop

US stocks are pointing to a quiet start as investors await more details on trade tariffs and amid rising concerns over the health of the US consumer. Retail sales fell -0.9% MoM worse than the -0.1% decline forecast. Stocks are set to rise across the week, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 near record highs as trade war fears ease.

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February 14, 2025 09:49 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises despite Trump's tariff warning & hotter PPI data

After a mixed close yesterday, US stocks are heading for a mildly positive start as investors continue to weigh inflation data, hopes of Russia-Ukraine peace talks, and worries over more trade tariffs from Trump. US PPI was hotter than expected rising 3.5% YoY. This comes after yesterday's hotter CPI print.

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February 13, 2025 08:56 AM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX falls after hotter CPI data

US stocks are set to open sharply lower after US inflation came in hotter than expected, pushing back Fed rate cut expectations. US CPI rose 3% year on year in January, above expectations that it would have matched the December pace of 2.9%. The market now sees one 25 basis point cut this year.

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February 12, 2025 09:00 AM